

Not bad, just not as good as The Wrong Horse

Some very interesting ideas

Race track fantasyScott is no mathematician, much less a statistician. He will take pages and pages to describe a calculation that could be written down in one simple formula. Anyone with even a single course in statistics will realize that his conclusions are flawed. Using the results of over 1000 races I am unable to duplicate his results.
What Scott offers here is a perpetuation of the gambler's myth that there is some system that will allow him to beat the house. I doubt that such a system exists, but if it does, it is not to be found within the pages of this book.
On the other hand the book can be an entertaining read if you enjoy this sort of thing. Scott, a lawyer writing under a pen name, certainly has the gift of gab. His bio claims he has won cases before the US Supreme Court. I would not mind him representing me in court, especially if I was guilty.
Not a panacea, but a good start at handicappingThe things I didn't like about this "system" is that, compared to the initial program set forth in "Investing at the Racetrack", it was more "forgiving" in disqualifying horses, and many times failed to get rid of borderline horses whose ability times put it into contention.
And, the Scott system is abysmal on "off" tracks. If your track isn't fast/firm.. that is, muddy, sloppy, or even "good", either go home or use a different method that day. You'll find yourself tearing up ticket after ticket, with "improbable" horses coming in first time after time if you use this method on anything less than ideal track conditions.
On a fast track, the Scott system provides a decent start to understanding some of the many factors that go into good handicapping; concepts I have read in other authors' work, only not "formularized". I would not stop with just this one method, however, but augment it with some insight into track bias, trip handicapping and pace handicapping too.


What a Complete Waste of Time
Strictly for those who want to know about the sport not bets
A great guide for both new and experienced racing fans

not so hot
Johnston's book is better
Great Golf Fun

Good book for beginners

insufficient coverage of betting tactics

Not enough time

Solid handicapping marred by glaring errorsThe late Scott concludes his handicapping trilogy with Total Victory at the Track, a book that both builds on his two earlier works (Investing at the Racetrack and How Will Your Horse Run Today?) and introduces another concept that ties them together. While Scott's work isn't bad, and the foundations upon which it lays are solid enough, there are some blunders in here that a novice wouldn't make. Whether to blame Scott or his editors is an arguable point, but the effect is the same; a novice coming into this book is going to pick up some bad information indirectly. My advice: buy this book if you're experienced enough at horseplaying to know how to read the Daily Racing Form's past performances and result charts, and be on the lookout for the errors. They are everywhere.
That said, the methods outlined here are certainly solid ones, as the workout in the back of the book shows (I'm doing my own testing on it, since these things seem to change on an almost daily basis in the horse biz), and while Scott isn't promising rose gardens, nor enough money to buy the land and plant the roses, it would seem that what he offers is at least enough to turn losers into break-even types or winners, if they're willing to do a little work to get there. It just seems that the path might be a little easier to follow without the glaring Daily Racing Form-related errors that pepper the text. ** 1/2


Total ConfusionThe beauty of the original Scott system was its simplicity. This new method is a morass of "add this, subtract that, divide that but only when there's a full moon..." It also adds to the bookkeeping necessary to make it work while you're actually at the track. All the calculations and comparisons can't easily be done in the Racing Form, rather a notebook and calculator are necessary for close scrutiny of all the numbers for each rated beast.
It's very hard to get a grip on the calculations, let alone the new selection criteria.
Still, there is a bright side: in some preliminary testing against some recent races that were also handicapped using the old method, the new method seemed to do better. It took a day's racing with the old method that featured a disaster at one track and a reasonable profit at another, and turned in windfalls at both, using the new method.
availability: amazon
Murray's The Wrong Horse was one of the truly amusing
books in equine literature, a collection of anecdotes
that gives ample evidence that Murphy's Law is a live,
well, and an intimate of every person at a racetrack,
from the grooms to the president to the long-suffering
punters. The Right Horse unfortunately abandons the
jocularity for the most part and takes the tone of an
instruction manual; an odd choice for a book whose
subtitle claims, in part, that the book wants you to
have a great time at the track.
Not to say it's a bad book by any stretch of the
imagination; it's more a question of repetition. If
you've read more than two handicapping primers, it's
likely you've seen a good deal of what's here in the
past. Murray writes well, even when he's not taking
potshots at Mr. Murphy and his law's application to
racing, and the book is certainly readable. I'd just
have liked to see more that hadn't previously been
said. ** 1/2